Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 5.509510 6.283500 7.137788 8.152410 9.326884 10.646329 12.244719
2025-03-30 4.498670 5.508604 6.712831 8.261149 10.208538 12.588970 15.737977
2025-04-06 3.817631 4.922644 6.316824 8.217847 10.762339 14.078327 18.772318
2025-04-13 3.319873 4.462120 5.970440 8.127861 11.166982 15.343626 21.601513
2025-04-20 3.050838 4.252657 5.904673 8.370258 12.006238 17.248730 25.521319
2025-04-27 2.815146 4.052069 5.813777 8.544501 12.740254 19.057775 29.508741
2025-05-04 2.656181 3.937930 5.824352 8.853161 13.689254 21.274500 34.398473
2025-05-11 2.391512 3.635706 5.518764 8.634804 13.777802 22.135366 37.173947
2025-05-18 2.188576 3.406256 5.298130 8.519094 14.004825 23.225460 40.453156
2025-05-25 2.017157 3.209014 5.106726 8.425183 14.247078 24.351578 43.921922
2025-06-01 1.856586 3.013980 4.899145 8.278707 14.374473 25.277837 47.125625
2025-06-08 1.708587 2.826455 4.686195 8.098750 14.416591 26.043385 50.105653
2025-06-15 1.660867 2.806389 4.758204 8.435517 15.448569 28.781848 57.421090
2025-06-22 1.578791 2.719473 4.705681 8.539043 16.051330 30.768707 63.489886
2025-06-29 1.482139 2.598288 4.580843 8.492990 16.354996 32.192800 68.557999
2025-07-06 1.388097 2.473984 4.439280 8.399562 16.550622 33.412783 73.344373
2025-07-13 1.348048 2.445648 4.472628 8.650831 17.476084 36.269215 82.305613
2025-07-20 1.301720 2.401497 4.471603 8.831476 18.270604 38.935807 91.234989
2025-07-27 1.274706 2.391907 4.535922 9.151511 19.399828 42.484794 102.909354
2025-08-03 1.188732 2.260648 4.349475 8.925103 19.290985 43.178407 107.418838
2025-08-10 1.120999 2.160716 4.218250 8.805134 19.410297 44.421387 113.569608
2025-08-17 1.060779 2.071619 4.102302 8.707770 19.570965 45.781743 120.258536
2025-08-24 0.999844 1.976824 3.967456 8.555917 19.585931 46.782577 126.108196